GPC Dynamics Matrix Bibliography Notes:
A) GDP
- Based off of IMF and UN data
· https://www.imf.org/external/datamapper/NGDPD@WEO/CHN/FRA/DEU/IND/JPN/USA/GBR/EU/RUS
· USSR data: http://data.un.org/Data.aspx?q=GDP&d=SNAAMA&f=grID%3a101%3bcurrID%3aNCU%3bpcFlag%3a0
B) GDP Per Capita
- Based off of IMF and UN data
· https://www.imf.org/external/datamapper/NGDPD@WEO/CHN/FRA/DEU/IND/JPN/USA/GBR/EU/RUS
· USSR data: http://data.un.org/Data.aspx?q=gdp+ussr&d=SNAAMA&f=grID%3A101%3BcurrID%3AUSD%3BpcFlag%3A1%3BcrID%3A810
C) Composite Index of National Capability (CINC)
· http://www.correlatesofwar.org/data-sets/national-material-capabilities
· https://www.dni.gov/files/documents/GlobalTrends_2030.pdf
· https://www.dni.gov/index.php/gt2040-home/introduction
D) Population
- Based off of UN and EU figures
· https://population.un.org/wpp/DataQuery/
· https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/databrowser/view/tps00002/default/table?lang=en
E) Birthrate per 1000 people (rounded)
- Based off of UN and World Bank data
· https://databank.worldbank.org/reports.aspx?source=2&series=SP.DYN.TFRT.IN&country=
· https://population.un.org/wpp/DataQuery/
F) Level of Industrialization- Industrialization Intensity Index
· https://tcdata360.worldbank.org/indicators/mva.ind.int?country=FRA&indicator=3793&countries=GBR,USA,CHN,DEU,RUS,JPN,IND&viz=line_chart&years=1990,2014
· https://stat.unido.org/database/CIP%20-%20Competitive%20Industrial%20Performance%20Index
G) % of Global Financial Markets
- Based off of Credit-Suisse data.
· 2010 https://www.credit-suisse.com/media/assets/corporate/docs/about-us/research/publications/credit-suisse-global-investment-yearbook-2011.pdf
· 2015 https://www.credit-suisse.com/media/assets/corporate/docs/about-us/research/publications/csri-returns-yearbook-2016.pdf
· 2020 https://www.credit-suisse.com/media/assets/corporate/docs/about-us/research/publications/csri-summary-edition-credit-suisse-global-investment-returns-yearbook-2019.pdf
· 2023 https://www.credit-suisse.com/media/assets/corporate/docs/about-us/research/publications/credit-suisse-global-investment-returns-yearbook-2023-summary-edition.pdf
H) Level of Innovation
I) Ease of Doing Business Rankings
· https://www.doingbusiness.org/en/reports/global-reports/doing-business-2020
· https://www.doingbusiness.org/content/dam/doingBusiness/media/Annual-Reports/English/DB06-FullReport.pdf
· https://archive.doingbusiness.org/en/doingbusiness
GPC Dynamics Matrix Explanatory Notes:
i. Level of Industrialization for EU has been calculated based on the average of individual members of the organization at that time. We have taken into account when certain members joined.
a. 1990- Belgium, France, Germany, Italy, Luxembourg, Netherlands, Denmark, Ireland, United Kingdom, Greece, Portugal, Spain (42.75)
b. 2000- Belgium, France, Germany, Italy, Luxembourg, Netherlands, Denmark, Ireland, United Kingdom, Greece, Portugal, Spain, Austria, Finland, Sweden (43.2)
c. 2010- Belgium, France, Germany, Italy, Luxembourg, Netherlands, Denmark, Ireland, United Kingdom, Greece, Portugal, Spain, Austria, Finland, Sweden, Cyprus, Czechia, Estonia, Hungary, Latvia, Lithuania, Malta, Poland, Slovakia, Slovenia, Bulgaria, Romania (43.14)
d. 2015- Belgium, France, Germany, Italy, Luxembourg, Netherlands, Denmark, Ireland, United Kingdom, Greece, Portugal, Spain, Austria, Finland, Sweden, Cyprus, Czechia, Estonia, Hungary, Latvia, Lithuania, Malta, Poland, Slovakia, Slovenia, Bulgaria, Romania, Croatia (45.46)
e. 2020- Belgium, France, Germany, Italy, Luxembourg, Netherlands, Denmark, Ireland, Greece, Portugal, Spain, Austria, Finland, Sweden, Cyprus, Czechia, Estonia, Hungary, Latvia, Lithuania, Malta, Poland, Slovakia, Slovenia, Bulgaria, Romania, Croatia
f. 2020- Belgium, France, Germany, Italy, Luxembourg, Netherlands, Denmark, Ireland, Greece, Portugal, Spain, Austria, Finland, Sweden, Cyprus, Czechia, Estonia, Hungary, Latvia, Lithuania, Malta, Poland, Slovakia, Slovenia, Bulgaria, Romania, Croatia
ii. Level of Industrialization based off of 2014 levels for 2015
iii. Based off of the average of EU member countries excluding Croatia
iv. Based off the average of EU member countries including Croatia
v. China’s GDP and GDP per Capita do not include HK, Taiwan and Macau
vi. Birthrate based off of 2017 levels
vii. Innovation Rank for 2020 is based off of 2019 levels
viii. GDP and GDP per Capita is based off of IMF 2024 levels estimate
ix. EU data for 2025 is an average of 2020 and 2030 population estimate levels
x. EU data is the average between UK, France and Germany through 2020
xi. Germany data is based off of West Germany in 1980
xii. Based off of DNI Global Trends 2030 New Multi-Component Global Power Index Forecast
xiii. Ease of Doing Business based off of 2006 Rankings that are benchmarked to January 2005
xiv. 2020 levels are based off of 2019 figures; 2025 innovation levels are from 2024 figures.
xv. EU Based off of average innovation levels (2010 excludes Croatia)xvi. Based off of most recently collected 2022 data
xvii. Ease of Doing Business data discontinued in 2020