1980
  GDP (Billions) GDP
(Per Capita)		 Composite Index of National Capability Population Birthrate Ease of Doing Business Rank Level of Industrialization % of  Commercial Global Financial Markets Innovation Rank
US 2,860 12,550                        0.13 227,225,000 1.8 - - - -
Chinav 305 309                        0.12 981,235,000 2.6 - - - -
Russia 620 3,553                        0.17 139,010,000 1.9 - - - -
EUiii, x 3,810 8,800 - 464,225,439 1.9 - - - -
1.Germanyxi 854 11,070                        0.03 78,288,576 1.4 - - - -
2.France 702 13,070                        0.02 55,161,527 1.9 - - - -
3.UK 605 10,730                        0.02 56,314,216 1.9 - - - -
India 189 276                        0.05 698,782,000 4.8 - - - -
Japan 1,100 9,470                        0.05 116,782,000 1.8 - - - -
  1990
  GDP (Billions) GDP
(Per Capita)		 Composite Index of National Capability Population Birthrate Ease of Doing Business Rank Level of Industrializationi % of Commercial Global Financial Markets Innovation Rank
US 5,960 23,850                         0.14 249,623,000 2.1 - 50% - -
Chinav 399 349                         0.11 1,135,185,000 2.3 - 56% - -
Russia 1,050 6,720                         0.13 148,292,000 1.9 - 44% - -
EUiii, x 7,390 16,580 - 477,725,565 1.7 - 43% - -
1.Germanyxi 1,600 20,170                          0.03 79,433,029 1.5 - 66% - -
2.France 1,270 22,490                         0.02 58,235,697 1.8 - 51% - -
3.UK 1,190 20,810                         0.02 57,247,586 1.8 - 50% - -
India 327 385                         0.06 873,277,798 4 - 45% - -
Japan 3,130 25,380                         0.05 123,537,000 1.5 - 60% - -
  2000
  GDP
(Billions)		 GDP
(Per Capita)		 Composite Index of National Capability Population Birthrate Ease of Doing Business Rankxiii Level of Industrializationi % of Commercial Global Financial Markets Innovation Rank
US 10,250 36,320                         0.14 282,162,411 2.1 3 48% - -
Chinav 1,210 959                         0.16 1,262,645,000 1.6 91 64% - -
Russia 278 1,900                         0.05 146,596,557 1.2 79 39% - -
EUiii, x 8,920 18,400                          0.02 488,221,138 1.5 - 43% - -
1.Germanyxi 1,950 24,000                         0.03 82,211,508 1.4 19 59% - -
2.France 1,370 23,210                          0.02 60,912,500 1.9 44 42% - -
3.UK 1,650 28,040                          0.02 58,892,514 1.6 9 42% - -
India 477 463                         0.07 1,056,575,549 3.3 116 43% - -
Japan 4,890 38,540                         0.05 126,843,000 1.4 10 55% - -
  2010
  GDP
(Billions)		 GDP
(Per Capita)		 Composite Index of National Capability Population Birthrate Ease of Doing Business Rank Level of Industrializationi % of  Commercial Global Financial Markets Innovation Rankxv
US 14,990 48,400                         0.15 309,326,085 1.9 4 46% 41.4% 11
Chinav 6,070 4,520                         0.21 1,337,705,000 1.6 89 73% - 43
Russia 1,640 11,410                         0.04 142,849,449 1.6 120 33% - 64
EUiii, x 17,020 34,010                          0.02 504,298,777 1.6 - 43% - 27
1.Germanyxi 3,400 42,640                         0.02 81,776,930 1.4 25 64% 3.2% 16
2.France 2,650 42,180                         0.02 65,027,507 2 31 43% 3.9% 22
3.UK 2,460 39,120                         0.02 62,766,365 1.9 5 42% 8.1% 14
India 1,710 1,420                         0.08 1,234,281,170 2.6 133 44% - 56
Japan 5,700 44,670                         0.04 128,070,000 1.4 15 62% 8.2% 13
  2015
  GDP
(Billions)		 GDP
(Per Capita)		 Composite Index of National Capabilityxii Population Birthrate Ease of Doing Business Rank Level of Industrializationi, ii % of Commercial Global Financial Markets Innovation Rankxv
US 18,220 56,770                         0.23 320,742,673 1.8 7 47% 52.3% 5
Chinav 11,230 8,170                         0.12 1,371,220,000 1.7 90 76% 2.3% 29
Russia 1,360 9,480                         0.03 144,096,870 1.8 62 35% - 48
EUiv, ix 16,440 32,440                          0.22 509,717,579 1.6 - 45% - 25
1.Germany 3,360 41,420 - 81,686,611 1.5 14 69% 3.1% 12
2.France 2,440 37,940 - 66,593,366 2 31 45% 3.2% 21
3.UK 2,900 44,490 - 65,128,861 1.8 8 42% 6.9% 2
India 2,100 1,640                         0.06 1,310,152,403 2.3 142 43% - 81
Japan 4,390 34,570                         0.06 127,141,000 1.5 29 62% 8.8% 19
  2020
  GDP
(Billions)		 GDP
(Per Capita)		 Composite Index of National Capabilityxii Population Birthratevi Ease of Doing Business Rank Level of Industrialization  % of Commercial Global Financial Marketsxiv Innovation Rankvii, xv
US 22,320 66,900                         0.22 331,003,000 1.8 6 43% 53.3% 3
Chinav 15,270 11,010                         0.13 1,439,324,000 1.7 32 64% 3.4% 14
Russia 1,660 11,600                         0.03 145,934,000 1.8 29 38% - 46
EUiv, ix 18,750 38,120                         0.20 514,292,512 1.6 - 44% - 25
1.Germany 3,980 50,110 - 83,784,000 1.6 22 64% 2.8% 9
2.France 2,770 44,030 - 65,274,000 1.9 32 44% 3.3% 16
3.UK 2,720 43,520 - 67,886,000 1.8 8 40% 5.5% 5
India 3,200 2,380                         0.06 1,380,004,000 2.2 62 49% - 52
Japan 5,410 43,700                         0.06 126,476,000 1.4 30 62% 8.4% 15
  2025
  GDP
(Billions)viii.		 GDP
(Per Capita)viii.		 Composite Index of National Capabilityxii. Population Birthrate Level of Industrializationxvi % of Commercial Global Financial Marketsxvi Innovation Rankxvii, xv.
US 29,840 87,980                         0.21 342,475,000 1.7 41% 58.40% 3
Chinav 19,790 14,040                         0.14 1,424,261,000 1.2 61% 3.70% 11
Russia 2,090 14,660                         0.03 121,960,000 1.4 37% - 59
EUiii, x 19,680 43,950                         0.19 451,385,792 - 43% - 26
1.Germanyxi 4,770 56,440 - 84,551,929 1.5 62% 1.92 9
2.France 3,220 48,630 - 68,227,226 1.8 43% 2.43 12
3.UK 3,690 53,630 - 68,181,000 1.6 40% 3.56 5
India 4,340 2,980                         0.07 1,451,607,000 2 47% 2.29 39
Japan 4,310 34,920                         0.05 121,960,000 1.3 59% 5.87 13
                 
  2030 (Projected)
  GDP
(Billions)viii.		 GDP
(Per Capita)viii.		 Composite Index of National Capabilityxii. Population Birthrate Level of Industrialization % of Commercial Global Financial Markets Innovation Rank
US 32,690 95,300                         0.21 352,162,000 - - - -
Chinav 23,610 16,800                         0.14 1,415,605,000 - - - -
Russia 1,990 14,050                         0.03 141,432,000 - - - -
EUiii, x 22,510 50,340                         0.19 452,700,101 - - - -
1.Germanyxi 5,460 65,210 - 85,284,256 - - - -
2.France 3,630 54,450 - 69,386,211 - - - -
3.UK 4,580 65,890 - 69,175,000 - - - -
India 5,940 3,990                         0.07 1,514,994,000 - - - -
Japan 5,160 42,470                         0.05 123,294,000 - - - -
                 

GPC Dynamics Matrix Bibliography Notes:

A) GDP     

  • Based off of IMF and UN data

· https://www.imf.org/external/datamapper/NGDPD@WEO/CHN/FRA/DEU/IND/JPN/USA/GBR/EU/RUS

· USSR data: http://data.un.org/Data.aspx?q=GDP&d=SNAAMA&f=grID%3a101%3bcurrID%3aNCU%3bpcFlag%3a0

B) GDP Per Capita     

  • Based off of IMF and UN data

· https://www.imf.org/external/datamapper/NGDPD@WEO/CHN/FRA/DEU/IND/JPN/USA/GBR/EU/RUS

· USSR data: http://data.un.org/Data.aspx?q=gdp+ussr&d=SNAAMA&f=grID%3A101%3BcurrID%3AUSD%3BpcFlag%3A1%3BcrID%3A810

C) Composite Index of National Capability (CINC)     

· http://www.correlatesofwar.org/data-sets/national-material-capabilities

· https://www.dni.gov/files/documents/GlobalTrends_2030.pdf

· https://www.dni.gov/index.php/gt2040-home/introduction

D) Population     

  • Based off of UN and EU figures

· https://population.un.org/wpp/DataQuery/

· https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/databrowser/view/tps00002/default/table?lang=en

E) Birthrate per 1000 people (rounded)     

  •    Based off of UN and World Bank data

· https://databank.worldbank.org/reports.aspx?source=2&series=SP.DYN.TFRT.IN&country=

· https://population.un.org/wpp/DataQuery/

F) Level of Industrialization- Industrialization Intensity Index

 · https://tcdata360.worldbank.org/indicators/mva.ind.int?country=FRA&indicator=3793&countries=GBR,USA,CHN,DEU,RUS,JPN,IND&viz=line_chart&years=1990,2014

· https://stat.unido.org/database/CIP%20-%20Competitive%20Industrial%20Performance%20Index

G)  % of Global Financial Markets

  • Based off of Credit-Suisse data.

· 2010 https://www.credit-suisse.com/media/assets/corporate/docs/about-us/research/publications/credit-suisse-global-investment-yearbook-2011.pdf

· 2015 https://www.credit-suisse.com/media/assets/corporate/docs/about-us/research/publications/csri-returns-yearbook-2016.pdf

· 2020 https://www.credit-suisse.com/media/assets/corporate/docs/about-us/research/publications/csri-summary-edition-credit-suisse-global-investment-returns-yearbook-2019.pdf

· 2023 https://www.credit-suisse.com/media/assets/corporate/docs/about-us/research/publications/credit-suisse-global-investment-returns-yearbook-2023-summary-edition.pdf

H)  Level of Innovation

I)  Ease of Doing Business Rankings

· https://www.doingbusiness.org/en/reports/global-reports/doing-business-2020

· https://www.doingbusiness.org/content/dam/doingBusiness/media/Annual-Reports/English/DB06-FullReport.pdf

· https://archive.doingbusiness.org/en/doingbusiness

 

GPC Dynamics Matrix Explanatory Notes:      

i. Level of Industrialization for EU has been calculated based on the average of individual members of the organization at that time. We have taken into account when certain members joined.

          a. 1990- Belgium, France, Germany, Italy, Luxembourg, Netherlands, Denmark, Ireland, United Kingdom, Greece, Portugal, Spain (42.75)

          b. 2000- Belgium, France, Germany, Italy, Luxembourg, Netherlands, Denmark, Ireland, United Kingdom, Greece, Portugal, Spain, Austria, Finland, Sweden (43.2)

          c. 2010- Belgium, France, Germany, Italy, Luxembourg, Netherlands, Denmark, Ireland, United Kingdom, Greece, Portugal, Spain, Austria, Finland, Sweden, Cyprus, Czechia, Estonia, Hungary, Latvia, Lithuania, Malta, Poland, Slovakia, Slovenia, Bulgaria, Romania (43.14)

          d. 2015- Belgium, France, Germany, Italy, Luxembourg, Netherlands, Denmark, Ireland, United Kingdom, Greece, Portugal, Spain, Austria, Finland, Sweden, Cyprus, Czechia, Estonia, Hungary, Latvia, Lithuania, Malta, Poland, Slovakia, Slovenia, Bulgaria, Romania, Croatia (45.46)  

          e. 2020- Belgium, France, Germany, Italy, Luxembourg, Netherlands, Denmark, Ireland, Greece, Portugal, Spain, Austria, Finland, Sweden, Cyprus, Czechia, Estonia, Hungary, Latvia, Lithuania, Malta, Poland, Slovakia, Slovenia, Bulgaria, Romania, Croatia  

                f. 2020- Belgium, France, Germany, Italy, Luxembourg, Netherlands, Denmark, Ireland, Greece, Portugal, Spain, Austria, Finland, Sweden, Cyprus, Czechia, Estonia, Hungary, Latvia, Lithuania, Malta, Poland, Slovakia, Slovenia, Bulgaria, Romania, Croatia  

ii. Level of Industrialization based off of 2014 levels for 2015   

iii. Based off of the average of EU member countries excluding Croatia   

iv. Based off the average of EU member countries including Croatia    

v. China’s GDP and GDP per Capita do not include HK, Taiwan and Macau   

vi. Birthrate based off of 2017 levels

vii. Innovation Rank for 2020 is based off of 2019 levels

viii. GDP and GDP per Capita is based off of IMF 2024 levels estimate   

ix. EU data for 2025 is an average of 2020 and 2030 population estimate levels     

x. EU data is the average between UK, France and Germany through 2020   

xi. Germany data is based off of West Germany in 1980  

xii. Based off of DNI Global Trends 2030 New Multi-Component Global Power Index Forecast

xiii. Ease of Doing Business based off of 2006 Rankings that are benchmarked to January 2005

xiv. 2020 levels are based off of 2019 figures; 2025 innovation levels are from 2024 figures.

xv. EU Based off of average innovation levels (2010 excludes Croatia)

xvi. Based off of most recently collected 2022 data

xvii. Ease of Doing Business data discontinued in 2020